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70% rule calculator

The flipper’s rule of thumb: pay no more than 70% of the after-repair value, minus repairs.

The 70% rule formula

Maximum offer = (after-repair value × 70%) − repair costs

A worked example

A house will be worth $289,000 once renovated and needs $42,000 of work. Seventy percent of $289,000 is $202,300. Subtract the repairs and the most you should offer is $160,300.

Where the other 30% goes

The rule sets aside 30% of the finished value for everything that is not the purchase or the rehab: closing costs on both ends, loan points and interest, taxes, insurance and utilities while you hold, agent commissions, and your profit. On a typical flip the costs take roughly half of that, leaving the rest as profit.

When to bend the rule

The 70% rule is a screen, not an appraisal. In expensive or competitive markets, investors often work at 75% or even 80%, because fixed costs are a smaller share of a higher price. On cheap houses, 70% can be too generous, because commissions and holding costs do not shrink with the price. Adjust the percentage above, or run the full numbers in a flip analysis.

Questions

What is ARV?

After-repair value: what the property should sell for once the renovation is complete, based on recent sales of comparable renovated homes nearby.

Does the 70% rule include closing and holding costs?

Indirectly. The 30% that the rule holds back is meant to cover closing, financing, holding and selling costs as well as profit. It does not itemize them, which is why a full flip analysis is the safer final check.

Is the 70% rule accurate?

It is a fast, conservative filter for deciding which houses are worth a closer look. It becomes less reliable at very low or very high price points, where fixed costs make up an unusually large or small share of the value.

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